Owing to changes in satellite mapping technology and data collection methods, comparisons of the 1990, 2000 and 2007 Land Cover Map datasets to detect change over time must be treated with caution. Many changes appear because of the improvements in the methodologies used to create the data and do not necessarily reflect actual change on the ground.
The challenge when comparing two land cover maps to detect change is product error (noise). The annual rate of land cover change is typically less than 5%, whereas in some regions product error will be as high as 20%. When comparing one year to the next, therefore, it very difficult to know which differences are due to real-world change versus noise.
One way to overcome this problem is to increase the time interval. This is why UKCEH has released a 25-year change product (Land Cover Change 1990-2015, representing the interval 1990 to 2015) as they were confident that the ratio of real-world change to noise had shifted towards demonstrating real change in the environment.
Where use of UKCEH’s Land Cover Change 1990-2015 dataset does not give you the answers you require, annual land cover maps can be used for change detection provided care is taken and the associated issues are understood. In fact, the main reason for UKCEH producing annual land cover maps is to tackle the change-over-time problem.
With the UKCEH annual land cover maps the noise problem will remain when comparing one year with the next. However, errors are random in space and time, so confidence will increase rapidly when comparing three or more annual maps, since it is very unlikely that the same errors will occur in exactly the same locations. As the annual time series matures, errors will tend to flicker on and off, but real changes will persist. The richer this series becomes the more powerful it becomes as a resource for tracking land cover changes across the UK.
In 2023 UKCEH will release the 6th map in the annual time series which started with LCM2017. In future years UKCEH hopes to close some of the historical gaps in the land cover map series and so extend the annual sequence. In the past, the UKCEH land cover team have cautioned users on using these maps to detect change. They now encourage you to do so - it is what they are for! If you develop reliable methods, they would love to hear from you.
This resource is supplied free to all UK higher and further education establishments for the express purpose of supporting teaching, learning and research. Commercial exploitation is strictly forbidden under the current licensing arrangements. If in doubt about your proposed use please contact digimap@ed.ac.uk.
The land-use maps provide a snapshot of land-use in Britain in the years before the Second World War.
Comparison with contemporary Ordnance Survey mapping allows users to explore how the British landscape has changed since the middle of the 20th century. Post war urban expansion is clearly evident.
We use cookies for security purposes, remembering your preferences and to analyse site traffic in order
to improve your experience using the service. This includes anonymised Google Analytics data.
We won't share your data with anyone else.
For more information please see our
Cookie Policy page.